*Earnings before taxes.
Third quarter. Revenue from the nuclear business
increased by 36% to $141 million from $104 million in 2000 due mainly
to a 72% increase in sales volume for uranium concentrates. As the
timing of deliveries of U3O8 and conversion
services within a calendar year is at the discretion of customers,
Cameco's quarterly delivery patterns can vary significantly. A 10%
decrease in the average realized selling price for uranium concentrates
partially offset the effect of the higher volume.
Revenue from conversion services was about 7% lower than in the
previous year due mainly to a decline in the realized price.
The total cost of products and services sold, including depreciation,
depletion and reclamation (DDR), was $122 million in the third quarter
of 2001 compared to $80 million in 2000. This increase reflects
the higher sales volume for uranium concentrates during the quarter.
Earnings before taxes (EBT) from the nuclear business increased
by $7 million or 32% to $29 million in the third quarter of 2001
while the profit margin for the quarter declined to 14% from 23%
in 2000.
Year-to-date. Revenue from the nuclear business declined
by 20% to $293 million from $368 million in 2000 due primarily to
uranium concentrates deliveries which were16% lower than in the
first nine months of 2000. Revenue was also impacted by a 7% decline
in the average realized selling price for uranium concentrates which
reflected a higher percentage of sales being delivered into market-related
contracts and the realization of lower prices on other deliveries.
The decline in the realized price was mitigated somewhat by more
favourable exchange rates due to a weaker Canadian dollar.
Nuclear revenue was also influenced by lower deliveries of conversion
services which declined by 8% compared to the first nine months
of 2000.
During the first nine months of 2001, the total cost of products
and services sold, including DDR, was $244 million compared to $282
million in 2000, reflecting the decreased sales volumes. The average
unit costs for nuclear products were similar to the previous year.
Expenditures for uranium exploration were $1 million lower than
in 2000.
EBT from the nuclear business was $53 million, a decrease of $25
million or 32% in the first nine months of 2001 and the profit margin
declined to 17% from 23% in 2000.
Gold Business
Third Quarter. Revenue from the gold business declined
by $5 million or 15% compared to last year due primarily to a 15%
decrease in selling price. Cameco's realized price for gold has
declined from $328 (US) in the third quarter of 2000 to $280 (US)
per ounce this past quarter due to less favourable hedge positions
and lower spot market prices.
Gold production at Kumtor was 6% greater than in the third quarter
of 2000 due to a reduction of in-circuit inventory. The ore grade,
recovery rate and throughput were all similar to the previous year.
Kumtor's cash cost per ounce was $148 (US) compared to $155 (US)
in 2000.
Kumtor Gold Company's (KGC) hedge position at the end of September
was 1,271,000 ounces, one-third being Cameco's share. It is expected
that these hedges will yield average prices in the range of $297
(US) to $302 (US) per ounce. There was no significant mark-to-market
difference on Cameco's share of the hedge position at September
30, 2001. Considering this hedge position, the sensitivity of Cameco's
2001 earnings and cash flow to changes in the gold price is not
material.
Year-to-Date. Revenue from the gold business rose
by $10 million or 13% compared to the same period last year, reflecting
a 22% increase in sales volume which more than offset a decline
in the average realized selling price. Cameco's realized price for
gold has declined from $320 (US) in the first nine months of 2000
to $285 (US) per ounce this year.
Gold production at Kumtor was 23% greater than in the first nine
months of 2000 due mainly to higher ore grade which averaged 5.17
grams per tonne compared to 4.49 grams, an increase of 15%. An improved
recovery rate, which rose to 84% from 81%, also contributed to the
increased production. Kumtor's cash cost per ounce was $139 (US)
in the first nine months of 2001 compared to $165 (US) in 2000.
The gross profit margin for gold was 29% in the first nine months
compared to 22% in 2000. The lower realized price has been more
than offset by a reduced unit cost.
Corporate Expenses
During the first nine months of 2001, costs for administration
increased by $3 million compared to the previous year. Interest
expense rose by $1 million reflecting less interest being capitalized.
Bruce Power
On May 12, 2001, the Bruce Power Limited Partnership (Bruce Power)
finalized its long-term lease with Ontario Power Generation to operate
the Bruce nuclear power plants. The lease arrangement is for a
period of 18 years with an option to extend for an additional 25
years. Cameco also finalized agreements with British Energy related
to our 15% interest in Bruce Power and has become the exclusive
supplier of fuel to Bruce Power.
The Bruce nuclear facility consists of four operating Bruce B reactors
and four Bruce A reactors which are currently not in service. Two
of the Bruce A reactors are slated for restart by the summer of
2003, subject to regulatory approvals. The net capacity of the operating
reactors is currently 3,160 megawatts (MW). With the anticipated
restart of the two Bruce A reactors, the total Bruce operating capacity
is expected to increase to 4,660 MW, representing 20% of Ontario's
electricity needs.
Cameco has committed to invest up to $100 million in Bruce Power,
of which an initial payment of $57 million was made in May 2001.
The balance of the committed amount may be required depending on
the net result of operating cash flows less capital expenditures,
largely related to the Bruce A restart program. In addition, Cameco
provided $43 million for the purchase of fabricated fuel inventory,
of which $19 million was outstanding at September 30, 2001.
The operating highlights for the Bruce Power partnership (100%)
for the period from May 12 to September 30, 2001 are as follows:
| |
|
to
Sept 30/01 |
| |
Output (terawatt hours) |
10.2 |
|
| |
Capacity factor (%) |
94.5 |
|
| |
($ million) |
|
|
| |
Revenue |
$395 |
|
| |
Operating costs |
279 |
|
| |
Profit before interest &
taxes |
116 |
|
| |
Interest |
26 |
|
| |
Profit before taxes |
$ 90 |
|
Cameco's share of earnings before taxes for this period is $13
million and has been fully reported in the third quarter.
Note: Capacity factor represents the amount of electricity actually
produced as a percentage of the amount of electricity the plants
are capable of producing for sale for a given period.
CASH FLOW
During the first nine months of 2001, Cameco generated cash from
operations of $54 million ($0.97 per share) compared to $140 million
($2.51 per share) in 2000. This decrease was largely attributable
to lower revenues and an increase in working capital, mainly uranium
inventory. During the first nine months of 2001, the quantity of
uranium produced and purchased exceeded sales by a considerable
margin. In the first nine months of 2000, operating cash flow was
bolstered by a reduction of working capital. Excluding the changes
in other operating items, cash from operations was $101 million
compared to $131 million in 2000. This decline was primarily due
to the lower deliveries and prices in the nuclear business to date
in 2001.
Cash used in investing activities increased to $105 million from
$81 million due primarily to the investment in Bruce Power which
totaled $76 million at September 30, 2001 including outstanding
amounts for fabricated fuel. Expenditures for property, plant and
equipment were $41 million lower than in 2000 due mainly to the
completion of construction at McArthur River. In the second quarter,
Cameco received an $11 million (US) repayment of principal on the
subordinated loan to KGC.
BALANCE SHEET
At September 30, 2001, total inventories had increased by 5% to
$382 million compared to $365 million at December 31, 2000. This
increase reflects the production and purchases in excess of sales
in the nuclear business during the first nine months.
Total long-term debt increased to $380 million from $294 million
at December 31, 2001. At September 30, 2001, Cameco's net debt to
capitalization ratio was 16%, up from 13% at the end of 2000. Cash
flow to date in 2001 has been limited by the year's deliveries being
heavily skewed to the last quarter of the year.
TRENDS AND UNCERTAINTIES
The most significant factors impacting the financial performance
of Cameco are:
- the market price for U3O8,
- sales volumes for nuclear products,
- foreign exchange rates between the Canadian and US dollars,
- the market price for gold,
- the unit costs of production, and
- the quantity and profitability of electricity generated by Bruce
Power.
Uranium Spot Market
The spot price (restricted) on September 30, 2001 was $9.50 (US)
per pound U3O8, compared to $8.75 (US) at
June 30, 2001, an increase of about 8.5%. The spot price was $7.40
(US) at the end of the third quarter of 2000.
Spot demand was steady over the quarter. Spot supply, while sufficient
to meet demand, has not been aggressively priced, and consequently
the spot price continued its rise through the quarter.
The spot market volume in the nine months ended September 30, 2001
was approximately 10 million pounds U3O8,
compared to 9 million pounds for the same period in 2000. This compares
to an average of 14 million pounds for the same period over the
past five years.
The spot market price for uranium conversion services increased
by a further 7% during the quarter to $5.25 (US) per kgU from $4.90
(US) at June 30, 2001. This compares to $2.50 (US) per kgU at the
end of the third quarter of 2000.
Uranium Long-Term Market
The long-term market has been active in 2001 with long-term contracting
reported by one market analyst to have already exceeded 50 million
pounds U3O8. For the year, long-term contracting
is still expected to be about 75 million pounds U3O8,
compared to 65 million pounds U3O8 in 2000.
The long-term price indicator, published by TradeTech, is at $10.50
(US) per pound U3O8 at September 30, 2001,
up from the $10.00 (US) at the end of last quarter. The price at
the end of the third quarter last year was $9.25 (US).
International Expansion of Nuclear Generating Capacity
The South Korean government has reaffirmed the country's plan to
construct an additional 10 nuclear power plants by 2011. Nuclear
power currently generates about 40% of electricity in South Korea
and construction of these plants will maintain this share. South
Korea is expecting base load electricity demand to grow at a rate
of 2% per year through 2015, requiring the installation, on average,
of 1,500 MW to be added each year and one-third of that is expected
to be nuclear.
Russia has announced that electricity generated by nuclear power
in Russia will increase from the current 15% to 20% in the next
five to seven years. Russia plans to build five new 1,000 MW reactors
in that time frame. Previously, Russia had announced plans for the
life extension of the first generation reactors and capacity increases
at several existing plants. Ukraine has also announced plans for
the life extension of its nuclear power plants by 10 to 15 years.
Fossil Fuels Come With Heavy External Costs
The European Commission has reported, after a 10-year research
project, that if environmental and public health costs were included
in the price of power generation, nuclear power costs compare very
favourably to those of other power generation methods. The cost
of producing electricity from coal would increase by 100% and that
of natural gas increase by 30%, if these costs were included.
Gold Market Review
During the third quarter of 2001, the average spot market gold
price was $274 (US) per ounce compared to $268 (US) in the second
quarter. The increase in prices was largely due to the events of
September 11th and gold ended the quarter at $293 (US).
Central Asian Gold and Uranium Operations
The Kumtor mine is located in Kyrgyzstan and the Inkai project
is in Kazakhstan. These countries share borders with Uzbekistan
and Tajikistan which in turn share borders with northern Afghanistan.
The military operations in that region do not pose a threat to the
company's assets at this time. Normal operations including inbound
shipments continue on schedule. The company has granted expatriate
personnel who are concerned about their safety the option of leaving.
No employees have elected to do so. The company continues to monitor
the situation closely and is in contact with Canadian and American
embassies in the region.
Foreign Exchange
Most of the company's revenues are in US dollars. At September
30, 2001 Cameco had sold forward $682 million (US) at an average
spot exchange rate of $1.5035.
During the quarter, the Canadian dollar weakened against the US
dollar from $1.5177 at the end of the second quarter to $1.5790
as of September 30, 2001. As a result, Cameco's mark-to-market
position was a loss of $26 million.
Other Corporate Developments
On October 9, 2001, Standard & Poor's announced that Cameco
was being added to the S&P/TSE 60, effective October 12th. This
index is a market-weighted benchmark of the 60 largest Canadian
public companies and is co-managed by Standard & Poor's and
the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSE). The effects of the announcement
were immediate as index fund managers who track the "60"
placed their orders for Cameco shares.
OUTLOOK FOR 2001
Uranium Production
Cameco expects its share of production for the year to total approximately
18.5 million pounds. At McArthur River, production is expected to
be approximately at the 18 million pound design capacity (Cameco
share 12.5 million pounds).
Nuclear Revenue and Margins
Nuclear revenue for the year is expected to be modestly lower than
the level achieved in 2000 reflecting lower prices. Nuclear sales
volumes and the percentage of contracts with market-related pricing
are expected to be similar to last year. The effective tax rate
for the year is expected to be lower than the 48% rate recorded
in 2000 but above the 28% rate for the first nine months of 2001.
For the fourth quarter, revenue in the nuclear business is expected
to nearly double in comparison to the third quarter reflecting both
higher volume and price for uranium concentrates. Approximately
50% of the year's uranium concentrate deliveries and revenue is
expected in the fourth quarter compared to about 36% in the same
period last year.
Delivery risks previously noted regarding two Californian utility
customers have been resolved to Cameco's satisfaction.
For the last quarter of the year, a $1.00 (US) change in the U3O8
spot price from current levels would change revenue by about $4
million (Cdn), net earnings by about $2 million (Cdn) and cash flow
by about $2 million (Cdn).
Consolidated earnings for the fourth quarter are expected to be
higher than the third quarter due primarily to increased deliveries
in the nuclear business. Corporate expenses and interest costs are
likely to be consistent with the first three quarters while the
effective tax rate is projected to increase due to a proportionately
greater contribution to pre-tax earnings from the nuclear segment.
Gold Business
Fourth quarter revenue from the gold business is expected to be
moderately higher than in the third quarter due to the realization
of more favourable hedge prices. The unit cash cost is expected
to be similar to the third quarter.
The impact of higher ore grades mined to date and better recovery
rates in 2001 are expected to continue and result in annual production
of approximately 750,000 ounces (Cameco's share 250,000 ounces),
up 12% from last year. Production in 2002 is expected to be approximately
650,000 ounces due to lower grade ore.
Bruce Power
Cameco's investment in Bruce Power is unlikely to contribute to
fourth quarter earnings due to the planned outage at Bruce B unit
five which began on September 22, 2001 and will last into the first
quarter of 2002. The scope and duration of this outage was identified
during the due diligence process and incorporated into our investment
analysis.
As previously disclosed, financial results in the near term are
projected to be modest as a number of one-time costs will be incurred
as business improvements are implemented. The investment in Bruce
Power is expected to contribute significantly to Cameco's earnings
and cash flows beginning in 2003.
Capital Expenditures
In 2001, capital expenditures are projected to be about $120 million
including the investment in Bruce Power. Within this total, expenditures
to maintain existing capacity at all operations are expected to
be about $20 million.
PROFILE
Cameco, with its head office in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, is the
world's largest uranium producer. The company's competitive position
is based on its large high-grade reserves and low cost operations.
Cameco is also one of the world's largest commercial providers of
uranium conversion services. The company's uranium products are
used to generate electricity in nuclear energy plants around the
world, providing one of the cleanest sources of energy available
today. Cameco has an interest in the Bruce nuclear generating plant
in Ontario and also produces gold. The company's shares trade on
the Toronto and New York stock exchanges.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Statements contained in this news release which are not historical
facts are forward-looking statements that involve risks, uncertainties
and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially
from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.
Factors that could cause such differences, without limiting the
generality of the following, include: volatility and sensitivity
to market prices for uranium, electricity in Ontario and gold; competition;
the impact of change in foreign currency exchange rates and interest
rates; imprecision in reserve estimates; environmental and safety
risks including increased regulatory burdens; unexpected geological
or hydrological conditions; political risks arising from operating
in certain developing countries; a possible deterioration in political
support for nuclear energy; changes in government regulations and
policies, including trade laws and policies; demand for nuclear
power; replacement of production and failure to obtain necessary
permits and approvals from government authorities; legislative and
regulatory initiatives regarding deregulation, regulation or restructuring
of the electric utility industry in Ontario; Ontario electricity
rate regulations; weather and other natural phenomena; ability to
maintain and further improve positive labour relations; operating
performance of the facilities; success of planned development projects;
and other development and operating risks.
CONFERENCE CALL
Cameco is hosting a conference call on Thursday, November 1, 2001
from 11:00 a.m. to 12:00 noon Eastern time (10:00 a.m. to 11:00
a.m. Saskatoon time) to discuss the third quarter results. To join
the call, please dial (416) 641-6680 or (800) 379-5831. A recorded
version of the call will be available shortly after the call on
the company's web site www.cameco.com or by telephone replay until
midnight, Thursday, November 15 by calling (416) 626-4100 and entering
the code 19816100.
For further information, please contact:
Bob Lillie
Manager, Investor Relations
Cameco Corporation
Phone: (306) 956-6639
Fax: (306) 956-6318
|
Jamie McIntyre
Director, Investor and Corporate Relations
Cameco Corporation
Phone:(306) 956-6337
Fax:(306) 956-6318 |
INVESTOR INFORMATION
Common Shares
CCO
The Toronto Stock Exchange
CCJ
New York Stock Exchange
Preferred Securities
CCJPR
New York Stock Exchange
|
Investor Inquiries
Cameco Corporation
2121, 11th Street West
Saskatoon, Saskatchewan
S7M 1J3
Phone: (306) 956-6400
Fax: (306) 956-6318
Web: www.cameco.com
|
Transfer Agent
CIBC Mellon Trust Company
320 Bay Street, P.O. Box 1
Toronto, Ontario
M5H 4A6
Phone: (800) 387-0825
(North America)
Phone: (416) 643-5500
(outside North America)
|
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