Long-term Price Sensitivity Analysis: Uranium

The table below is not a forecast of prices we expect to receive. The prices we actually realize will be different from the prices shown in the table.

The table is designed to indicate how the portfolio of long-term contracts we had in place on December 31, 2009 would respond to different spot prices. In other words, we would realize these prices only if the contract portfolio remained the same as it was on December 31, 2009, and none of the assumptions we list below change.

Expected Realized Uranium Price Sensitivity Under Various Spot Price Assumptions

(rounded to the nearest $1.00)

In the table, our average realized price increases over time under all spot price scenarios. This illustrates the mix of long-term contracts in our December 31, 2009 portfolio, and is consistent with our contracting strategy.

Our contracts usually include a mix of fixed-price and market-price components, which we target at a 40:60 ratio. We signed many of our current contracts in 2003 to 2005, when market prices were low ($11 to $31 (US)). Those that are fixed at lower prices or have low ceilings will yield prices that are lower than current market prices. These older contracts are beginning to expire, and we are starting to deliver into contracts signed since 2004 (when market prices began to increase).