The Future is Nuclear 2005 Annual Report
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Consolidated Outlook for 2006

In 2006, Cameco expects consolidated revenue to grow by more than 40% over 2005 due to the improved uranium markets and the proportionate consolidation of BPLP revenue. On a consolidated basis, our gross profit margin is projected to improve to 28% from 23% reported in 2005.

In the uranium business, we expect revenue to be about 20% higher due to a stronger realized price and increased sales volumes. We also anticipate that revenue from the conversion business will be about 20% higher than in 2005 due to an anticipated 15% increase in sales deliveries and an increase in the average realized selling price.

BPLP earnings in 2006 are projected to be marginally higher than in 2005 mainly because of fewer outages. This earnings outlook assumes the B units will achieve a targeted capacity factor in the low 90% range and that there will be no significant changes in our current estimates for costs and prices.

Gold production in 2006 is forecast at 729,000 ounces, a decline of about 7% from 2005. Unit costs are expected to increase primarily due to lower ore grades at the Boroo and Kumtor mines and lower recovery at Kumtor.

The financial outlook noted above for the company is based on the following key assumptions:

  • no significant changes in our estimates for sales volumes, costs, and prices,
  • no disruption of supply from our facilities or third-party sources, and
  • a US/Canadian exchange rate of $1.16.

Administration costs are projected to be about 10% greater than in 2005. The increase in administration reflects higher charges for stock compensation, business development and costs to maintain the workforce. Exploration costs are expected to be about $55 million in 2006. Of this, $32 million is targeted for uranium.

For 2006, the effective tax rate is expected to be in the range of 15% to 20%. This range is based on the projected distribution of income among the various tax jurisdictions being similar to that of 2005.

In 2006, we expect total capital expenditures, including the gold business, to increase by 70% to $484 million. Capital expenditures are classified as growth or sustaining. Growth capital is defined as capital spent to bring on incremental production plus business development initiatives. The remainder is classified as sustaining capital. Cameco expects it will have sufficient debt capacity and cash from operations to fund our capital expenditure program.

Capital Expenditures
(Cameco's share in $ millions) 2006 Plan 2005 Actual
Growth Capital    
  McArthur River 4 9
  US ISL 5
  Cigar Lake 90 81
  Conversion Services 3
  Inkai 35 18
  Centerra1 100 22
Total Growth 237 130
Sustaining Capital
  McArthur River/Key Lake 42 22
  US ISL 28 19
  Rabbit Lake 32 13
  Conversion Services 38 18
  Bruce Power (BPLP)2 39 23
  Centerra1 18 18
  Other 22 16
Total Sustaining 219 129
Capitalized interest 28 26
Total 484 285
1 Represents 100% of Centerra's expenditures.
2 Includes Cameco's proportionate share from November 1, 2005 forward.

For growth projects, total expenditures are projected to be $237 million, an increase of $107 million compared to 2005. The increase is attributable to:

  • development activity at Cigar Lake and Inkai,
  • expansion of production capacity at McArthur River and US ISL mines, and
  • equipment and infrastructure expenditures to increase mine life at Kumtor.

Expansion at McArthur River and development at Inkai are subject to regulatory approvals.

We expect sustaining capital expenditures to be higher in 2006 than in 2005 due to ongoing mine development work at McArthur River and Rabbit Lake, establishing freeze walls for two new mining areas at McArthur River, water treatment projects at Key Lake and Rabbit Lake, and well field expansions at the US ISL operations. Sustaining capital expenditures will also increase at conversion services to improve production processes and meet new regulatory requirements.