Forward-Looking Information

The financial information in this MD&A and in our financial statements and notes are prepared according to International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS).

Unless we have specified otherwise, all dollar amounts are in Canadian dollars.

Caution about forward-looking information

Our MD&A includes statements and information about our expectations for the future. When we discuss our strategy, plans, future financial and operating performance, or other things that have not yet taken place, we are making statements considered to be forward-looking information or forward-looking statements under Canadian and United States securities laws. We refer to them in this MD&A as forward-looking information.

Key things to understand about the forward-looking information in this MD&A:

  • It typically includes words and phrases about the future, such as: believe, estimate, anticipate, expect, plan, intend, predict, goal, target, project, potential, strategy and outlook (see examples below).
  • It represents our current views, and can change significantly.
  • It is based on a number of material assumptions, including those we have listed on page 4, which may prove to be incorrect.
  • Actual results and events may be significantly different from what we currently expect, due to the risks associated with our business. We list a number of these material risks on page 3. We recommend you also review our annual information form, which includes a discussion of other material risks that could cause actual results to differ significantly from our current expectations.
  • Forward-looking information is designed to help you understand management’s current views of our near and longer term prospects, and may not be appropriate for other purposes. We will not necessarily update this information unless we are required to by securities laws.

Examples of forward-looking information in this MD&A

  • our expectations about 2013 and future global uranium supply, consumption, demand, long-term contracting volumes, number of operable reactors and nuclear generating capacity, including the discussion on the expected impact resulting from the March 2011 nuclear incident in Japan
  • our expectations for spot prices in 2013
  • our strategy for increasing annual supply to 36 million pounds by 2018, including the expected sources of such supply and development projects in connection therewith
  • our expectation that existing cash balances and operating cash flows will meet anticipated 2013 capital requirements without the need for any significant additional funding
  • our expectations regarding uranium demand in the near term
  • our 2013 objectives
  • the outlook for each of our operating segments for 2013, and our consolidated outlook for the year
  • our outlook for the first quarter of 2013
  • our expectation that we will continue to invest in expanding our production capacity at our existing mines and advancing projects as we pursue our growth strategy
  • our expectation that cash balances will decline as we use the funds in our business and pursue our growth plans
  • our expectations for 2013, 2014 and 2015 capital expenditures
  • our expectation that our operating and investment activities in 2013 will not be constrained by the financial covenants in our unsecured revolving credit facility
  • our uranium price sensitivity analysis
  • forecast production at our uranium operations from 2013 to 2017
  • the likely terms and volumes to be covered by long-term delivery contracts that we enter into in 2013 and in future years
  • our expectations about the purchase volumes and prices to be realized under the Russian HEU commercial agreement in 2013, as well as our expectations and strategy regarding maintaining sales volumes when the Russian HEU commercial agreement ends
  • our expectations about 2013 global consumption of conversion services and production at our fuel services operations
  • future royalty and tax payments and rates
  • our future plans for each of our uranium operating properties, development projects and projects under evaluation, and fuel services operating sites
  • our expectations regarding Cigar Lake
  • our mineral reserve and resource estimates
  • our expectations regarding the cash flows, profit margins, uranium deliveries, sales, revenues, costs, tax rates and profitability recognized by NUKEM in 2013 and in the future

Material risks

  • actual sales volumes or market prices for any of our products or services are lower than we expect for any reason, including changes in market prices or loss of market share to a competitor
  • we are adversely affected by changes in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates or tax rates, or we are unsuccessful in our dispute with tax authorities
  • our production costs are higher than planned, or necessary supplies are not available, or not available on commercially reasonable terms
  • our estimates of production, purchases, costs, decommissioning or reclamation expenses, or our tax expense estimates, prove to be inaccurate
  • we are unable to enforce our legal rights under our existing agreements, permits or licences, or are subject to litigation or arbitration that has an adverse outcome
  • there are defects in, or challenges to, title to our properties
  • our mineral reserve and resource estimates are not reliable, or we face unexpected or challenging geological, hydrological or mining conditions
  • we are affected by environmental, safety and regulatory risks, including increased regulatory burdens or delays
  • we cannot obtain or maintain necessary permits or approvals from government authorities
  • we are affected by political risks in a developing country where we operate
  • we are affected by terrorism, sabotage, blockades, civil unrest, social or political activism, accident or a deterioration in political support for, or demand for, nuclear energy
  • we are impacted by changes in the regulation or public perception of the safety of nuclear power plants, which adversely affect the construction of new plants, the relicensing of existing plants and the demand for uranium
  • there are changes to government regulations or policies that adversely affect us, including tax and trade laws and policies
  • our uranium and conversion suppliers fail to fulfill delivery commitments
  • our Cigar Lake development, mining or production plans are delayed or do not succeed, including as a result of any difficulties encountered with the jet boring mining method or our inability to acquire any of the required jet boring equipment
  • we are affected by natural phenomena, including inclement weather, fire, flood and earthquakes
  • our operations are disrupted due to problems with our own or our customers’ facilities, the unavailability of reagents, equipment, operating parts and supplies critical to production, equipment failure, lack of tailings capacity, labour shortages, labour relations issues (including an inability to renew agreements with unionized employees at McArthur River, Key Lake or the Port Hope Conversion facility), strikes or lockouts, underground floods, cave ins, ground movements, tailings dam failures, transportation disruptions or accidents, or other development and operating risks
  • NUKEM's actual uranium sales volume, cash flows and earnings in 2013 and in the future are lower than expected due to losses in connection with spot market purchases, counterparty default on payment or other obligations, counterparty insolvency or other risks
  • departure of key personnel at NUKEM could have an adverse effect on continuing operations

Material assumptions

  • our expectations regarding sales and purchase volumes and prices for uranium, fuel services and electricity
  • our expectations regarding the demand for uranium, the construction of new nuclear power plants and the relicensing of existing nuclear power plants not being adversely affected by changes in regulation or in the public perception of the safety of nuclear power plants
  • our expected production level and production costs
  • the assumptions regarding market conditions upon which we have based our capital expenditure expectations
  • our expectations regarding spot prices and realized prices for uranium, and other factors discussed on pages 48 and 49, Price sensitivity analysis: uranium
  • our expectations regarding tax rates and payments, the outcome of the dispute with tax authorities, foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates
  • our decommissioning and reclamation expenses
  • our mineral reserve and resource estimates, and the assumptions upon which they are based, are reliable
  • the geological, hydrological and other conditions at our mines
  • our Cigar Lake development, mining and production plans succeed, including the success of the jet boring mining method at Cigar Lake and that we will be able to obtain the additional jet boring system units we require on schedule
  • our ability to continue to supply our products and services in the expected quantities and at the expected times
  • our ability to comply with current and future environmental, safety and other regulatory requirements, and to obtain and maintain required regulatory approvals
  • our operations are not significantly disrupted as a result of political instability, nationalization, terrorism, sabotage, blockades, civil unrest, social or political activism, equipment breakdown, natural disasters, governmental or political actions, litigation or arbitration proceedings, the unavailability of reagents, equipment, operating parts and supplies critical to production, labour shortages, labour relations issues (including an inability to renew agreements with unionized employees at McArthur River, Key Lake or the Port Hope Conversion facility), strikes or lockouts, underground floods, cave ins, ground movements, tailings dam failure, lack of tailings capacity, transportation disruptions or accidents or other development or operating risks
  • NUKEM's actual uranium sales volume, cash flows and earnings in 2013 and in the future will be consistent with our expectations
  • key personnel will remain with NUKEM